The Index  ·  Volume I · 2026

All

Arguments made from evidence. Predictions with dates. Analysis that is willing to be wrong.

001 foreign-policy Afghanistan Strikes Pakistan: A Ceasefire That Was Already Fiction Jun 19 002 opinion The Cognitive Outsourcing Problem: AI Chatbots and the Erosion of Epistemic Autonomy Jun 19 003 economy Big Tech's Energy Paradox: AI Datacenters Are Building the Clean Grid They're Simultaneously Destroying Jun 19 004 elections Andy Burnham Returns to Westminster: What the Makerfield Result Actually Measures Jun 19 005 economy Bank of England Holds Rates at 3.75% as Middle East Conflict Keeps Inflation in the Pipeline Jun 19 006 economy Japan at 1%: The Bank of Japan's Rate Decision and the Price of Someone Else's War Jun 19 007 foreign-policy Barnier's Brexit Offer: The UK Could Rejoin the EU on Its Old Terms — If It Wants To Jun 19 008 elections Burnham Takes Makerfield: What a By-Election Result Tells Us About Labour's Structural Exposure Jun 19 009 elections Burnham's Makerfield Landslide Puts Starmer on a Clock Jun 19 010 elections Burnham Wins Makerfield. The Labour Leadership Clock Starts Now. Jun 19 011 elections After Makerfield: What a Burnham Government Actually Looks Like Jun 19 012 elections Burnham Wins Makerfield. Now the Clock Starts on Starmer. Jun 19 013 elections Burnham Wins Makerfield. Starmer's Clock Starts Now. Jun 19 014 elections California's Billionaire Tax Reaches the Ballot. The Real Fight Has Not Yet Begun. Jun 19 015 economy Cuba Opens the Economy: What the Party Just Admitted Jun 19 016 foreign-policy Cuba's Communist Leadership Signals Reform — China and Vietnam as Templates for a Collapsing Economy Jun 19 017 legislation EU Parliament Passes Mass Deportation Law as MEPs Chant 'Send Them Back' Jun 19 018 analysis The EU's Ukraine Statement Is Not a Strategy Jun 19 019 opinion FIFA's Aramco Deal and the Architecture of Sports Laundering Jun 19 020 economy Gas Below $4: What the Iran Deal Actually Costs Jun 19 021 foreign-policy Hegseth Calls NATO a 'Paper Tiger' and Orders a Six-Month Reckoning Jun 19 022 analysis Hegseth's NATO Ultimatum: Pay Up or Lose the Troops Jun 19 023 legislation Hegseth's Vaccine Rollback Has a Body Count: 160 Sick at Lackland Air Force Base Jun 19 024 foreign-policy The Hormuz Gambit: How Iran Extracted a Ceasefire, a Fee Schedule, and a 60-Day Clock Jun 19 025 foreign-policy Hormuz Cannot Reopen: 80 Mines and the Architecture of a Chokepoint Crisis Jun 19 026 legislation India Bans Telegram: How an Exam Scandal Became a Censorship Framework Jun 19 027 foreign-policy The Iran Deal Is Already Breaking: Israeli Strikes, Hormuz Mines, and the Architecture of Collapse Jun 19 028 foreign-policy Iran's FIFA Complaint Exposes the Political Architecture of the 2026 World Cup Jun 19 029 economy Iran's Rial Recovered. Its Grocery Prices Did Not. Jun 19 030 commentary Iran's Supreme Leader Calls Trump's Nuclear Deal a Sign of Desperation as Naval Blockade Ends Jun 19 031 economy The Iran War's Price Tag: How a Three-Month Conflict Is Reshaping the Global Economy Jun 19 032 commentary Israel Severs Contact with EU's Top Diplomat Over 'Apartheid' Designation Jun 19 033 analysis KPMG's Surveillance State: When the Auditor Becomes the Subject Jun 19 034 foreign-policy Lebanon Bleeds After the Deal: Israeli Strikes Kill 18 as Ceasefire Ink Dries Jun 19 035 economy The $1.3 Million Bill for Independence: Trump's War on the Federal Reserve Built a Legal and Security Crisis for Lisa Cook Jun 19 036 elections Makerfield's Verdict: How a By-Election Reshapes Britain's Political Order Jun 19 037 elections The Makerfield Test: Andy Burnham's Westminster Bid and the Arithmetic of Labour Survival Jun 19 038 commentary The Defense That Lasted One Day: What Mangione's Legal Reversal Reveals Jun 19 039 analysis The Met Found Guilty: How a Black Teenager's Wrongful Arrest Became a Race Discrimination Verdict Jun 19 040 analysis Pulte at the DNI: How Trump Blocked Senate Confirmation to Install a Loyalist at the Top of U.S. Intelligence Jun 19 041 commentary Serbia's School Massacre Retrial: When the State Prosecutes the Family It Failed to Monitor Jun 19 042 elections Starmer Will Not Step Aside: The Labour Leadership Crisis Hardens Jun 19 043 opinion Dozens of Nations Warn of Atrocities in Sudan's el-Obeid as RSF and SAF Escalate Jun 19 044 legislation The Supreme Court Dismantles Another Pillar of Federal Gun Restriction Jun 19 045 legislation The Supreme Court's Unanimous Gun Ruling Signals a New Constitutional Floor — Not a Ceiling Jun 19 046 analysis The Switzerland Collapse: How Israel's Lebanon Strikes Killed the Iran Deal's First Test Jun 19 047 legislation Trump Redirected $352 Million in Secret Service Funds to Build a Ballroom Jun 19 048 foreign-policy Trump's Iran Gamble: A Deal Structured to Fail on Someone Else's Timeline Jun 19 049 commentary The MOU That Ends Nothing: Trump's Iran Ceasefire Is a Conditional Pause, Not a Peace Jun 19 050 commentary Trump Signs Iran Deal at Versailles: Concessions Dressed as Victory Jun 19 051 analysis The Trump-Iran Agreement: What Was Signed, What It Costs, and What Can Kill It Jun 19 052 commentary Trump's North Korea Reset: A Third Attempt at a Deal That Has Never Worked Jun 19 053 legislation The OMB's Science Rule Is Not a Budget Measure. It Is a Control Mechanism. Jun 19 054 economy The Iran War's Bill Lands in London: UK Borrowing Hits £23.3bn in May Jun 19 055 elections The Young Male Voter Myth: British Election Data Dismantles a Convenient Narrative Jun 19 056 foreign-policy Washington Cuts Allies Off from American AI: The Export Ban That Is Rewriting the Alliance Map Jun 19 057 commentary Three Dead, No Apology: How the Hormuz Killings Broke the US-India Relationship Jun 19 058 opinion The U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding: What the Text Actually Commits, and What It Leaves Unresolved Jun 19 059 analysis Diplomacy Suspended: US-Iran Talks Collapse as DHS Prepares to Arm Local Police with Facial Recognition Jun 19 060 analysis The Collapse Before the Table: US-Iran Talks Cancelled Hours Before They Began Jun 19 061 analysis The War on Iran Produced Thousands of Dead. The True Count May Never Exist. Jun 19 062 analysis 211 Dead in US Military Boat Strikes: The Narcoterrorism Doctrine Has No Legal Ceiling Jun 19 063 commentary 211 Dead: The Quiet Arithmetic of America's Maritime Drug War Jun 19 064 commentary 211 Dead: The U.S. Military's Undeclared War on Narco Boats Jun 19 065 legislation The Social Media Age Restriction Debate Crosses the Atlantic — and Reveals a Deeper Legislative Failure Jun 19 066 foreign-policy Vance to Israel: Trump Is Your Only Ally. Act Like It. Jun 19 067 analysis Vance's 'You Can't Kill Your Way Out' Doctrine Is a Victory Claim Dressed as Restraint Jun 19 068 elections Zimbabwe's Bill to Abolish Presidential Elections Is Not a Reform. It Is a Seizure. Jun 19 069 elections Zimbabwe's Parliament Votes to Erase Presidential Elections. This Is What Democratic Backsliding Looks Like in Real Time. Jun 19 070 legislation Zimbabwe's Parliament Votes to Extend Presidential Terms — A Constitutional Rewrite by Ruling Majority Jun 19 071 foreign-policy More Than 1,000 Palestinians Killed During Gaza's Active Ceasefire Period Jun 18 072 opinion The Reparations Architecture: What the Accra Summit Is Actually Building Jun 18 073 foreign-policy CENTCOM Lifts Iran Naval Blockade as US Forces Hold Position in the Gulf Jun 18 074 elections Colombia's Presidential Runoff Is Not an Election. It's a Referendum on What the State Is For. Jun 18 075 elections Washington D.C.'s Next Mayor Is a Democratic Socialist. Trump Has Already Threatened to Intervene. Jun 18 076 commentary Eduardo Bolsonaro Convicted: The Anatomy of a Judicial Siege Jun 18 077 opinion The Filton 4 and the Criminalization of Dissent in Britain Jun 18 078 foreign-policy NATO's Controlled Demolition: Hegseth's Review Is a Restructuring, Not a Reform Jun 18 079 economy Iran's Hormuz Toll Is a Structural Shift in Global Energy Economics Jun 18 080 economy Iran's Hormuz Toll: How a Peace Deal Became a Chokepoint Tax Jun 18 081 opinion Japan's Rearmament Is Not a Choice — It's a Structural Admission Jun 18 082 commentary The Smyrtos Precedent Is Already Dissolving Jun 18 083 analysis The Temple Mount Status Quo Is Collapsing — and the Institutions That Maintained It Have No Answer Jun 18 084 analysis Uganda's Military Charges the Defense Lawyer in Its Own Political Treason Case Jun 18 085 analysis Britain's First China Spy Convictions Expose a Decade of Institutional Failure Jun 18 086 foreign-policy The Hormuz Deal: What a US-Iran Ceasefire Extension Actually Stabilizes Jun 18 087 opinion The $300 Billion Gap: What the US-Iran Deal Actually Says Jun 18 088 analysis The War That Empowered Its Target: What the US-Iran Deal Reveals About American Strategy Jun 18 089 analysis The Trap Was the Policy Jun 16 090 analysis The Guardrail Assumption Jun 4